353. Miller and Benda (2000) Effects of punctuated sediment supply on valley-floor landforms and sediment transport
     Large, infrequent fluxes of sediment to streams by mass wasting are intrinsic to the erosion regime of mountain drainage basins. To elucidate the role of mass wasting in the construction and evolution of steep land channel environments, it is crucial that we identify the processes involved and recognize their legacy on the valley floor. In the winter of 1996, nine storm-triggered debris flows carried ∼18,000 m³ of coarse debris into the upper reaches of the South Fork of Gate Creek (Oregon Cascade Range) during flood flow. Analysis of resulting channel morphologies and bed textures shows that the sediment moved downstream as a wave-like pulse or pulses, overwhelming the channel and causing it to braid, with flooding and alluvial deposition over the valley floor. Downstream progression of the sediment wave resulted in vertical accretion of the valley floor with sediment carried as bedload, the maximum depth of valley-floor burial being set by the amplitude of the wave. Passage of the wave left a channel incised to bedrock, inset between coarse-grained alluvial terraces. This study examines the genesis of these features at Gate Creek and points to such terraces as field indicators of massive episodic influxes of sediment and the associated formation of fluvially transported sediment waves.
544. Zawol and Kenyon (2026) Behind the curtain: Developing methods and toolkits supporting practical assessment of discharge and bedload of the Nisqually River within Mount Rainier National Park
     Impacts from a changing climate continue to drive changes in the hydrology, geomorphology, and inherent variability of the world's rivers. Upland watersheds with strongly coupled fluvial/hillslope dynamics are especially vulnerable to these effects, leaving mountainous watersheds in a precarious position. Classic methods for hydrologic monitoring are almost exclusively developed for rivers with slopes of <0.001 m/m, leaving steep mountain rivers comparatively unstudied, and slow to advance by comparison. This work seeks to continue efforts from the Mount Rainier National Park (MORA) Imminent Threats Program to address research gaps pertaining to the continuous measurement of discharge and sediment transport in mountain rivers with a slope ≥0.02 m/m, furthering our understanding of impacts to morphodynamic processes advancing into downstream communities. Containing widely distributed low-resilience infrastructure, significant increases to precipitation intensities, and glacial recession rates greater than 0.1 m/day, the Nisqually River of MORA exemplifies the nexus of modern land management issues driven by climate stressors of the Pacific Northwest. With this study, we seek to further characterize observable surface processes in the Nisqually watershed within MORA and consider new frameworks enabling reliable monitoring of steep mountain rivers. Here, we continue the efforts to refine the use of seismic analysis focused on pristine mountain rivers by creating tools to package analyses, and testing combinations of field practices for calibrating model frameworks. We combine visualization and data selection tools to aid large data management of our repository (>10TB), targeting analysis for time periods of interest. We also attempt to use experimental schema of active-source calibration testing for stations within a remote monitoring network to determine Green's function parameters, moving from relative monitoring toward quantifying discharge and bedload. If successful, MORA will finally begin collecting a record of river discharge after 127 years of management.
543. Wood and Peters (2026) Influence of modeling assumptions on pedestrian evacuation success for non-eruptive lahar hazards at Mount Rainier, Washington
     Previous efforts to characterize lahar threats posed to communities downstream of volcanoes have focused primarily on delineating hazard zones that lack information on lahar-arrival times and exposure estimates that implicitly treat threats to be the same regardless of distance from the volcano. Estimated lahar-arrival times, travel times for individuals to leave hazard zones, and possible evacuation delays related to event identification, warning dissemination, and evacuee behavior are important, but often overlooked, aspects of understanding the societal threats posed by lahars. These temporal considerations are important for unexpected lahars that could occur due to slope failure in the absence of precursory volcanic unrest or eruption. This case study examines the role of time in lahar evacuations by quantifying population exposure and evacuation potential for non-eruptive lahar hazards associated with Mount Rainier, Washington. Lahars could directly affect tens of thousands of residents and employees, thousands of students at primary and secondary schools, and hundreds of individuals at long-term residential care facilities. Geospatial path-distance modeling quantified evacuation potential for 736 scenarios that represent combinations of lahar sources, evacuation destinations, pedestrian travel speeds, and a range of departure-delay assumptions. Depending on location, some communities may have substantial loss of life in tens of minutes after lahar initiation, whereas other communities may be managing large-scale evacuations over several hours. Estimates of evacuation success based on a range of scenarios provide individuals in hazard zones and risk-reduction agencies with insights on how their actions may increase or decrease the number of people that survive future lahars.
542. Raup et al. (2025) Tracking extinct glaciers in GLIMS
     Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS), an initiative to build and distribute a database of global glacier data, has recently begun to track glaciers that have recently disappeared. GLIMS provides a definition of “extinct” glaciers for our community, and the final determination of extinction is left to local experts. There are currently 181 glaciers in the GLIMS Glacier Database that are marked as “extinct”, though we recognize that there have been many more reported in the literature. GLIMS welcomes more submissions to make the list more complete.
541. Carlson et al. (2026) Disappearing glaciers of the Oregon Cascades, USA
     The Oregon Cascades had 35 named glaciers on seven volcanoes in the 1980s, with 34 of those glaciers remaining by 2000. Here, we document the glaciers that fall into the Global Glacier Casualty List categories based on five years of field observations of these 34 glaciers. Five glaciers have disappeared, four have almost disappeared and eight are critically endangered. Thus, half of the Oregon Cascades named glaciers have disappeared, almost disappeared, or reached critically endangered status in the 21st century. Between 1980 and 2024, the May–October ablation season of the Oregon Cascades region warmed at ∼0.3°C per decade, with a 2020–24 mean temperature ∼1.7°C warmer than the 1975–84 mean. In contrast, there was no significant trend in November–April accumulation season precipitation. Given the significant rise in melt-season temperature, we attribute ongoing glacier disappearance in the Oregon Cascades to the warming climate.
540. Ghent et al. (2026) When every second counts: Parental decision-making in Mt Rainier’s lahar inundation zone
     Mount Rainier, a heavily glaciated stratovolcano in Washington State [USA], has a documented history of producing major lahars. The potential for future high-magnitude flows threatens approximately 90,000 downstream residents and has prompted one of the nation’s most extensive volcanic monitoring systems, including a specialized lahar detection network. Because portions of Rainier’s west flank are composed of hydrothermally altered, unstable rock, the region is especially vulnerable to “no-notice” lahars triggered by sudden, non-eruptive slope failure. In response, schools in at-risk zones have conducted lahar evacuation drills – now a legal requirement – for over two decades, demonstrating that on-foot evacuation is the most effective strategy for student and staff safety. Despite these efforts, many parents report an intention to retrieve their children from school during an emergency lahar evacuation, contradicting official guidance. Such actions could obstruct evacuation routes, delay emergency response, and increase personal risk, especially in areas where modeled lahar arrival times are under one hour. Parent decision-making thus presents a critical, yet understudied, variable in evacuation planning and is considered integral to the success of city-wide evacuations. Here we present the ongoing work from focus groups held with local parents to explore motivations behind their intentions. Topics of discussion within the focus groups include parents’ general understanding of lahar hazards, their intended actions, their confidence in school evacuation plans, and underlying factors in their decision-making. These insights can support more effective communication and preparedness strategies by emergency managers and school officials, while also contributing to broader discussions about protective action decision-making in rapid-onset hazards beyond volcanic settings.

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The U.S. Geological Survey Cascades Volcano Observatory and the University of Washington Pacific Northwest Seismic Network continue to monitor Washington and Oregon volcanoes closely and will issue additional notifications as warranted.

Website Resources

For images, graphics, and general information on Cascade Range volcanoes: https://www.usgs.gov/observatories/cvo
For seismic information on Oregon and Washington volcanoes: http://www.pnsn.org/volcanoes
For information on USGS volcano alert levels and notifications: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/VHP/volcano-notifications-deliver-situational-information

Jon Major, Scientist-in-Charge, Cascades Volcano Observatory, jjmajor@usgs.gov

General inquiries: vhpweb@usgs.gov